Category Archives: Member Only

S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 02152019

The S&P 500 cash index closed above the highly watched 200-day moving average for the last four trading days.  The equities market is acting everything is fine, the FED is backing off from tight money policy, the trade war is going to be resolved and the growth engine will be back on again.

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More Likely Than Not It Is a V-Shaped Bottom

Last week we sent out a blog about the furious bear market rally and the pending market top that occurred on Friday 01/18/2019.  After the long weekend, the market did give us the correction that was expected.  However, the correction has been very mild.  It seems that the big guys are buying up the DOW.

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A Furious Bear Market Rally

We just witnessed a furious bear market rally in 16 trading days.  The DOW rallied 14% in 16 trading days but it failed to produce a weekly reversal signal in the maximum allowed time length of 3 weeks against the December low.  The weekly reversal signal is needed to enable the market to continue to move up from here.

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 01042019

The S&P 500 violated the February 2018 intradeday low on Friday 01/04/2019.  It has the entered the resistance zone at 2532-2600.  From the way how it bounced from the Christmas Eve low we believe it has potential to go a slightly higher than the lower end of the resistance zone of 2532.

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The Bear Market is Here

Last week we questioned the validity of the rally that was induced by the trade war truce.  It turned that the rally was used as a selling opportunity.  It didn’t even have the strength to reach a symmetry swing at 2845 to create an appearance of a bullishness.  It promptly failed at 78.6% of the ab swing at 2800. 

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