Category Archives: Member Only

Cyclical Economic De-acceleration

Since the beginning of the October we have blogged several times that the stock market has entered the 4-year cycle high to low phase.  This stock market 4-year cycle high to low phase corresponds to the current cyclical economic de-acceleration while the central bank continues to raise rates.

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3rd Quarter Closing Update

The DOW closed at 25115.75 on October 31, 2018.  This close is sandwiched right between bearish and bullish numbers.

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A Rare High Tight Flag Situation

As we have stated before that the market is in a 4-year cycle high to low correction phase, we shouldn’t open new long positions.  But we do have a rare high tight flag situation that warrants your consideration.  This formation is so rare that had succeeded several times in the past during the market downturns.

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Market Update 10/10/2018

The severity of the selloff today has changed the outlook of the market.  The important question right now is how long and how deep will the correction last.  Is it time to get out the market?  We are going to look at different indices an stocks to try to make sense of the madness.

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The DOW Cycle Location 10/05/2018

Finally the DOW made an outside reversal week on 10/05/2018.  This is the start of the seasonal correction.  It is 14 weeks into the current weekly cycle that was started on the week of 06/29/2018.  This correction against the January 2018 high does appear to be a selling off of a double top.  

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