Category Archives: Stock Indices

S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 05/22/2020

It has been eight weeks since the March 23 low.  The Dow and S&P 500 both are under its 200-day moving average.  Nasdaq has been above the 200-day moving average since April 22nd.  This divergence is reflecting the difference between the digital and real economy.  The digital economy stocks continue to perform because

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The Sell Signal Is Busted

Last week we have been emailing to our member subscribers that a sell signal has been confirmed in all three indices.  However, after a 6% selloff, the market staged an impressive comeback on Thursday and Friday.  The strength of the comeback disarmed the sell signal, even though it didn’t reach the stoploss point yet.  A valid sell signal doesn’t behave this way.

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It Is Still A Bear Market Rally


Last week Nasdaq had an outside reversal weekly bar, meaning it traded lower than the previous week’s low and then closed higher than the previous week’s high.  When this happens, it is indicative of further momentum on the upside.  The Dow and S&P 500 also closed on the strong side on the weekly bar.  The short term momentum

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More Volatility Ahead

The five mega cap tech companies reported earnings last week and that finally finished the Fed induced rally.  The market mood has switched to paying attention to the economic realities.  The epic battle between the Fed supporting the equities and the market driven price exploration will cause volatility to rise.

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The Unknowables of Covid-19

In the last two weeks, the S&P 500 essentially chopped around the range established after the Fed nuclear option (buying junk bonds) announcement.  Underneath the three indices, there are vastly different performing sectors reflecting the new Covid-19 driven economy and the related stock performance.

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