Category Archives: Stock Indices

The DOW Index Cycle Location

While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both made an all time high, the DOW is behind.  The DOW index is more sensitive to the trade war due to the fact that the multi-nationals derive significant portion of their revenue from China. 

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Be Aware of Contagion Effect

Can the US stock market continue to go up while the emerging markets are experiencing an acute bear market?  Since the beginning of the bull market in 2009, it has experienced two major corrections, one was in 2011 and the other was in 2015.  The two corrections were both caused by the disturbances outside of the US. 

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Seasonal Pattern in the Stock Market

2017 has been devoid of all seasonal patterns, will 2018 follow the seasonal pattern?  Certainly 2018 has been a lot more volatile, which can contribute to the formation of seasonal patterns.  Normally the stock market has a tendency to top in August thru October. 

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The Market Topped on a Great GDP Number

Last week was full of fire and fury!  The tech darlings FB, INTC and TWTR had an out-sized drop that would certainly make investors wonder if this bull market is over.  FB had the biggest drop in its entire history.  Is the FAAMG group doomed? 

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The Lagging DOW Index

Well, finally the S&P 500 cash index broke out the 2800 level last week.  But it has been standing still around the 2800 level without attracting urgent sellers or buyers.  Normally the stalemate will be resolved on the downside by its own gravity–for lack of buyers to push up the market. 

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