Category Archives: Uncategorized

Not Out of the Woods Yet

The Q1 earnings are not bad and the consumers are still spending.  The Fed was not too hawkish in the May meeting.  The Fed kept the interest rates unchanged, but will slow down quantitative tightening.  The market reacted negatively to the dovish Fed last week, only reacted positively to a less than expected nonfarm payroll growth numbers last

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Small Cap Stocks Tell the Real Story

In our last weekly blog we predicted that the December Fed meeting would be a positive catalyst to push the stock market higher as the cycles have been positioned to go higher.  The Fed Chair Powell shocked everyone in the December meeting hinting that interest rate cuts could be happening in 2024 as inflation has come down meaningfully.  The market

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Summer Lull before the Storm

The 10-year treasury yield fell below 4.0% and the DOW decisively bounced off its 50-day moving average last week.  The good inflation data saved the day! The DOW successfully prevented a double top confirmation, therefore the S&P 500 and NASDAQ were able to press higher last week. The big banks earnings were not horrible and the consumer spending is

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10-year Treasury Yield Trend Reversal Trade Setup

Since the extreme hawkish September Fed meeting on last Wednesday, the markets have been in shock.  The 2-year and 10-year treasury yields have gone parabolic while the equities in every sector sold off hard. The DOW took out its June low while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ held their respective June low.  The 10-year treasury yield gap opened to a 12-year new high last Friday, but it failed to continue to

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The Fed Spoke Last Week

The much anticipated June Fed meeting was finally over.  The Fed spoke clearly about what we have known for sometime.  The re-opening is doing well thanks to the national vaccination efforts.  Inflation is running high, but the the Fed is not raising rates and not tapering.  The Fed could be tapering sometime down the road, but not now.

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