Tag Archives: Member Only

Shutdown Blip

pricentime

The US government was shutdown over the weekend.  It is a big deal as it affects many people’s lives and the economy.  But in this vertical market, this shutdown will be just a blip that the impact to the market is almost negligible.   The bull market will brushoff the event like it has been doing since 2017.

It was the 13th day in the first daily cycle and the 3rd week in the current weekly cycle on Friday, January 19, 2018 before the shutdown.  

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location

The S&P 500 cash index ran 114 points in the last 9 trading days!  What a great start of 2018!  It officially kicked off the new weekly cycle on the first trading day in 2018.  It just finished the 2nd week in the weekly cycle.  With the incredible momentum, we expect the current rally to continue until at least April 2018. 

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Trade Alert 01042018

We at Pricentime.com run daily, weekly and monthly scanners to search for stocks that are ready to take off. The focus of the search is the study of price and volume information in the given stocks to predict pending movements. We also scan unusual options activities to find winners. 

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The Beginning of Melt-Up

It was the 18th week in the weekly cycle as we finished 2017.  We thought the market would take this opportunity to create a little correction as the previous year’s high (also the current weekly cycle high) is a pretty tall order to overcome under normal conditions.  But the market condition is anything but normal, the 2017 yearly high was taken out on the 1st trading day in 2018!

Since the 2017 yearly high (also the weekly cycle high produced on 12/18/2017) was already taken out, we have to alter our cycle count.  The 5th weekly cycle was finished on 12/29/2017.  The correction that we were looking for will no longer occur, unless it makes sudden U-turn and take out the S&P 500 low at 2673.61. 

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The Outlook of 2018

It was a rare and extremely trending year in the stock market in 2017.  All we needed was to buy and hold.  What can we expect for 2018?  We expect big changes in 2018 in many aspects of the stock market as we can not step twice into the same river.  The market is in a constant flux and it’s highly cyclical.

The volatility cycle will return in the first half of 2018.  So just when we thought we have found the theme or tune of the market, it’s so easy to just go long with the crowd, then the market has a way of confounding the best of human minds.  In this blog we would like to go over the following few subjects and provide our forecast:

  1. Major indices price and time target forecast,
  2. Sector Analysis–where to place your money.
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