Tag Archives: seasonal cycle

S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location

Third time is the charm.  The market flashed outside reversal days three time, once on June 9th, once on July 27th, and finally on August 8th.  On those outside reversal days, the market made a fresh new high, then promptly sold off to close below the previous day’s low. 

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location

pricentime

We are finished with the slow and painful sideways correction!  A new weekly cycle has started since April 17, 2017.  Where is this new cycle going to lead us to?  Before we forecast the new cycle, let’s examine what has happened.  The cycle does what it always does, it pays no attention to the noises.  The hidden cycle is always there for us to find the clues.

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S&P 500 Cash Index Seasonal Cycle 2017

pricentime

We are currently 13 weeks into the 3rd weekly cycle of the new four-year cycle that started in February 2016.  The current weekly cycle has been unable to produce a sell signal despite that it has been trading sideways in the top timing band.  The market is climbing a wall of worry.  This condition has caused us to examine the seasonal cycle within the four-year cycle.

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