Tag Archives: SP 500

The Stock Market Cycles Are Working Without a Hitch

The stock market cycles are working quietly without a hitch while the media is talking up a storm about interest rates, the Fed, inflation and growth value rotation, etc..  It’s very confusing to figure out the effects from all the different variables on the stock market.  The cycle analysis makes it simple as we don’t pay much attention

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Market Correction Excuses

Despite the NASDAQ finding a bottom near its 30-week moving average in early March, it continues to be the weak index among the DOW and S&P 500.  The 10-year treasury yield has made a higher high since early March, yet the NASDAQ hasn’t made a lower low.  So the rising rates scare is only part of the excuses for this selloff.

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Inflation and Tech Stocks

There are a lot of chatters about the coming inflation and higher interest rates as the reasons for the recent NASDAQ selloff.  Wall Street has been talking about the rotation from high priced growth stocks into value stocks which are cyclical and more closely connected to the state of the economy.  

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Value vs. Growth and Rising Interest Rates

Last Tuesday the NASDAQ made a low that created an 8.26% correction measured from the February 26 2021 high.  It spent the next three trading days trying to take out the Tuesday low and it was not able to do so.  The DOW and S&P 500 both experienced less than 4% correction measured from high to low.  Much of the

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Watch for Seasonal High in May 2021

Now the laggard DOW has gathered strength and closed at the upper channel line on the weekly chart.  The weekly oscillators have turned up and is getting ready to march with the rest of the indices.  The pundits are calling for the market valuation is too high, but the treasury sectary Yellen and other members of FOMC have been openly stating

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