Tag Archives: SP 500

S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 01042019

The S&P 500 violated the February 2018 intradeday low on Friday 01/04/2019.  It has the entered the resistance zone at 2532-2600.  From the way how it bounced from the Christmas Eve low we believe it has potential to go a slightly higher than the lower end of the resistance zone of 2532.

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2019 Outlook and Strategies

All three indices closed at year end below the yearly pivot range, indicating a weak position entering 2019.  Pivot range is calculated based on the high, low and close of a trading period.  The pivot range identifies an area that is called the meat of the market where the market is likely to find support,

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Bear Market Creates Opportunities Around the Corner

The sentiment is relentlessly bearish, the negative news and bearish forecasts are overflowing everywhere.  It feels no end is in sight.  Yes, the end is not near yet, but please keep it in perspective.  When this is all done and over with, you will be presented excellent opportunities that you wish you had in the last cycle.

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Growth Vs. Value

Over the previous 12 business cycles, the best money managers during a cycle produced average annual compounded total returns of 25% to, in a few rare cases, 30%.  This small group consisted of either growth-stock managers or managers whose most successful investments were in growth stocks plus a few turnaround situations.

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Bear Market Doesn’t End Easily

pricentime

The semi-conductor sector is clearly in bearish territory.  The superstar chip stock NVDA dropped 18.8% on Friday due to bad earnings and forecast.  The chip sector ETF SMH topped in March 2018, but NVDA was the last man standing in chip sector until October 2018.

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