Tag Archives: Two-Year Cycle

Can Low Interest Rates Stimulate the Economy?

On the last day of July the Fed announced an interest rate cut by 25 basis points citing the reasons of “implications of global developments for the economic outlook as well as muted inflation pressures”.  Less than 24 hours later, President Trump announced 10% tariffs against Chinese imports of $300 billion.

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 02152019

The S&P 500 cash index closed above the highly watched 200-day moving average for the last four trading days.  The equities market is acting everything is fine, the FED is backing off from tight money policy, the trade war is going to be resolved and the growth engine will be back on again.

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Bear Market Creates Opportunities Around the Corner

The sentiment is relentlessly bearish, the negative news and bearish forecasts are overflowing everywhere.  It feels no end is in sight.  Yes, the end is not near yet, but please keep it in perspective.  When this is all done and over with, you will be presented excellent opportunities that you wish you had in the last cycle.

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The Dow Jones Cycle Location 10/19/2018

The DOW had an inside day on last Friday and it was also an inside week.  But the DOW was able to close firmly above the 30-week MA while all the other indices closed below it.  The market is appearing to be temporarily stabilizing by having an inside week. 

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DOW Cycle Location 09212018

The DOW and S&P 500 both closed at all time high last Friday, yet the NASDAQ is lagging behind.  At the end of August, NASDAQ was in overbought condition with 8.81% over 30-week moving average.  The current three weeks correction has been supported by the 10-week moving average.

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