Tag Archives: weekly cycle

No Tapering Yet, But The Mood Is Still Risk-Off

The Fed spoke last week and saved the day.  The Fed talked about tapering “soon”, but not now, so the market breathed a sigh of relief!  Last Monday the three major indices fulfilled a peak to trough 5% correction.  Then the market quickly reversed the correction.  The S&P 500 and NASDAQ traded above their perspective 50-day moving average

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Correction Is Underway to At Least Mid October

In our last cycle analysis we pointed out that the market could hold up until the September FMOC meeting. But on Wednesday September 8th the market cracked.  We sent out a private email to our subscribers stating that the cycle oscillators have confirmed a daily cycle top.  The following day’s intraday trading further confirmed the daily cycle was on its way down.

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Daily and Weekly Cycle Analysis as of 09032021

The latest job data released on last Friday was soft, not so great, but also not so gloomy which is good for the market because it could push the Fed’s tapering further down the road, at least that is what the market was thinking at the moment.  Yes, the soft data is indicating the economy is slowing down due to a number of reasons

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Individual Stocks vs. Index Investing

We mostly hold a very concentrated portfolio of a few high conviction individual stocks.  But we pay enormous amount of attention to the general market and the difference in performance between the major indices.  Why so?  Based on statistics, 75% of the individual stocks trade in the same direction of the general market.

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Calm Before The Storm

In our last Sunday blog, we mentioned that the NASDAQ would attempt 16000 in the next 4-6 weeks after it bounced sharply from 14200 support.  TSLA reported earnings last Monday and the stock price chose not to respond to more than a tenfold increase on the $104 million the company reported in the same period last year.

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Cycle Forecast

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