Tag Archives: weekly cycle

2019 Outlook and Strategies

All three indices closed at year end below the yearly pivot range, indicating a weak position entering 2019.  Pivot range is calculated based on the high, low and close of a trading period.  The pivot range identifies an area that is called the meat of the market where the market is likely to find support,

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Bear Market Creates Opportunities Around the Corner

The sentiment is relentlessly bearish, the negative news and bearish forecasts are overflowing everywhere.  It feels no end is in sight.  Yes, the end is not near yet, but please keep it in perspective.  When this is all done and over with, you will be presented excellent opportunities that you wish you had in the last cycle.

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The Bear Market is Here

Last week we questioned the validity of the rally that was induced by the trade war truce.  It turned that the rally was used as a selling opportunity.  It didn’t even have the strength to reach a symmetry swing at 2845 to create an appearance of a bullishness.  It promptly failed at 78.6% of the ab swing at 2800. 

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Can You Trust This Rally?


The news of a cease fire of the trade war and the most recent FED statements seem to be providing the much needed good relief for the market.  The S&P 500 futures gapped up almost 40 points at open for the overnight session on Sunday night.  The important question is can we trust this rally?  Are the problems causing the market to selloff in October gone?

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Growth Vs. Value

Over the previous 12 business cycles, the best money managers during a cycle produced average annual compounded total returns of 25% to, in a few rare cases, 30%.  This small group consisted of either growth-stock managers or managers whose most successful investments were in growth stocks plus a few turnaround situations.

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