Tag Archives: weekly cycle

S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 07062018

The much talked trade war opened fire on Friday, July 6th as anticipated.  The market was calm as it could be.  All three major indices rallied with NASDAQ in leading position.  The Chinese stock market rallied as well.  Is the market discounting the impact of the future trade war escalation?

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 06292018

The major indices finished the first half of 2018 as a mixed bag.  S&P 500 and NASDAQ both finished with gains, while DOW finished in loss in the first half year.  This truly reflects the worries of a trade war because the DOW is mostly comprised of the multinationals, which are more sensitive to trade issues. 

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 06222018


The trade war talk has produced tremendous anxiety in the stock market.  The major money are on the sideline.  There are a lot to contemplate with besides the trade war.  The rising interest rates and strong Dollar are the other two important factors that are on investors’ mind. 

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New Investing Theme

Rising interest rates, strong dollar and trade war concerns are the fundamental reasons that made investors very hesitant to put money back into the market.  The hesitation showed up in the price action as sideways consolidation for the last four months.  

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 05112018

Last week the S&P 500 cash index marched to pass 2717, which is a prior swing high.  It closed firmly above 2717 as well.  This action took place on the 5th weekly bar of the weekly cycle which was started on 04/06/2018.  So the cycle location is much clearer now.  

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