Tag Archives: weekly cycle

S&P 500 Cycle Location 08312018

S&P 500 successfully took out the January 2018 high and closed firmly above it amid the horrible headline news about a global trade war and domestic political issues.  We have examined multiple aspects of the breakout and concluded that the breakout is real. 

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The Canadian Marijuana Stocks Fever

The Canadian marijuana stocks are raging based on the fact that Canada is going to legalize the recreational marijuana use nationwide.  Also the alcohol industry is circling around the pot industry.  Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) just announced 4 billion dollar investment in Canopy Growth (CGC).

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The DOW Index Cycle Location

While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both made an all time high, the DOW is behind.  The DOW index is more sensitive to the trade war due to the fact that the multi-nationals derive significant portion of their revenue from China. 

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Be Aware of Contagion Effect

Can the US stock market continue to go up while the emerging markets are experiencing an acute bear market?  Since the beginning of the bull market in 2009, it has experienced two major corrections, one was in 2011 and the other was in 2015.  The two corrections were both caused by the disturbances outside of the US. 

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Seasonal Pattern in the Stock Market

2017 has been devoid of all seasonal patterns, will 2018 follow the seasonal pattern?  Certainly 2018 has been a lot more volatile, which can contribute to the formation of seasonal patterns.  Normally the stock market has a tendency to top in August thru October. 

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