Tag Archives: weekly cycle

S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 06222018

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The trade war talk has produced tremendous anxiety in the stock market.  The major money are on the sideline.  There are a lot to contemplate with besides the trade war.  The rising interest rates and strong Dollar are the other two important factors that are on investors’ mind. 

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New Investing Theme

Rising interest rates, strong dollar and trade war concerns are the fundamental reasons that made investors very hesitant to put money back into the market.  The hesitation showed up in the price action as sideways consolidation for the last four months.  

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S&P 500 Cash Index Cycle Location 05112018

Last week the S&P 500 cash index marched to pass 2717, which is a prior swing high.  It closed firmly above 2717 as well.  This action took place on the 5th weekly bar of the weekly cycle which was started on 04/06/2018.  So the cycle location is much clearer now.  

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DOW the Laggard

While NASDAQ has taken out the Jan 2018 high two weeks ago, S&P 500 cash index just registered a weekly buy signal, the DOW is lagging behind.  The daily DOW index is tightly contained in a triangle.  The divergence between DOW,  NASDAQ and S&P 500 is reflecting the deep concern of the trade war.

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The Low is In with a New Daily Cycle

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Today the S&P 500 cash index took out the previous day’s high and closed above it.  Not only it closed above the previous day high, it also closed above the weekly and monthly pivot range.  The strong close implies that the daily cycle low is in place.  This daily cycle finished in 14 days, which is relatively short in cycle length. 

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