What’s the purpose of the blog? How can I use it to make money?
The main purpose of the blog is to objectively forecast market conditions thru 3-dimention analysis by identifying long-term, intermediate-term and short-term cycles. Readers will be kept abreast of all major markets conditions via monthly, weekly and daily reports. The blogs will be short, precise and actionable. We cover a wide range of major markets, providing conditions on asset relations such as dollar, commodity, US equities, emerging markets and bonds. We also provide stock market leadership studies so you are in the performing stock market sectors/industrials.
If you are a professional who has no time for intraday trading, it is best to use the weekly cycle signals to trade three or four times a year per market instrument. The weekly cycle averages about 18 weeks. There are 52 weeks in a year. So there are about three weekly cycles in a year. When you catch a weekly cycle bottom, a sizable gain is expected. You can start with a small portion of your money to try the signals until you are comfortable with cycle trading.
If you are a swing trader, there are many trades that last only a few days. Our members receive real time trade alerts. Whenever we have a new trade signal, our members will receive instant email alerts for the trade setup.
Market is not predictable, how can you forecast the tops and bottoms without the studies of fundamentals?
We believe the market is not random. The market wisdom is above all. All is priced into the market. The hidden order of the market can be revealed thru the studies of price and time. Our cycle timing band forecasts 70% of the time that a top or a bottom would occur. In the 70% timing band, we use price target, smaller time frame cycles and pattern recognition to identify when the cycle tops or bottoms are being made. We are aware of what’s going on in the world, but we try our best to avoid injections of our personal opinions. We respect the market and let the numbers do the work.
What is your cancellation policy?
We have a monthly membership that you can cancel it anytime. However, we can’t refund the monthly payment after you have gained access. You can stop future payment by canceling your monthly membership. Your maximum risk is $29.99.
What is your track record?
Our members can access our track record all the time.
Although our model pin points cycle tops and bottoms with 70-90% accuracy, we are only as good as our next trade. The past means nothing in this business. Our feet are to the fire all the time. That’s why we always include time/price stop loss. If we are wrong, the stop loss will protect you. So before you take the trade, you have to measure your risk/reward. We don’t recommend people to buy and hold. When we are wrong, we don’t tell people to double down, buy more to cost average. We don’t try to come up with reasons and hopes as to why you should hold the loser. We take the measured small loss and move on. Maybe there isn’t anything wrong with the stock, but the stock is just not performing right now and who knows when it will perform again. So why lock your money in non-performing assets?
How do you select stocks for trade recommendations?
We consider the following factors:
- The condition of the general market. If it is bullish, we look for longs. If it is bearish, we look for shorts.
- Sector/group position relative to the general market. We only want to pick up stocks that are in the right group.
- The relative performance against the group and general market. We don’t want stocks that are lagging behind.
- Resistance. The older and less resistance, the better. If the breakout is in the virgin price territory, we call them runaway stocks.
- The coup de grace is volume buildup. We need steady volume increases in the prior weeks.
What is your stop loss strategy?
Our stop loss is not determined by the fixed percentage of the dollar amount in the trade. It is determined by the cycle location and technical setup. So the stop loss varies depending on how fast we locate the cycle top or bottom and or other technical pattern setup. When the stop loss order is triggered, the trade is nullified. The trade is stopped out. And your loss is protected by the stop loss order. Before you take the trade, you have to measure your own risk tolerance. Do you want to risk the stop loss for the reward?
We always trade with time and price stop loss so your money is NOT locked in non-performing assets.
It seems to be a reasonable approach, but how does an individual investor use the stop loss strategy?
It really depends on how you define “individual investor”. Let’s say you are an individual investor with infinite patience and faith for xyz company, what is your risk if you are wrong about xyz? How long will you hold xyz until it meets your price target? Will you let it go to zero if you are wrong? Hopefully as an investor you would think through your investing plan before you become a share holder. By the way, when you buy a share of xyz, where did that money go? Did it go to xyz’s business? Are you supporting xyz or the economy in general?
Taking losses is the toughest part of investing/trading. Most people become emotionally attached to their positions and will come up with all sorts of reasons to justify holding losers.
PricenTime.com clearly defines swing trade (short term 1-5 days) and longer term (1-7 months). But it doesn’t matter long or short term, there is always a clear point that we could be wrong. So when we are proven wrong, we would be very glad to take the small measured loss and move on.
Hopefully our readers can get a sense which way the wind blows by looking at our longer term cycle analysis. In addition to the general index, we also analyze sector/industrials leaderships. So if you put your money to work, at least you are putting it in a leadership position.
Our swing trades are for short term traders. It takes time and effort to catch those. Some of our clients only trade about 3-4 times a year based on the weekly cycle signals.
Can I ask you to run cycle analysis on my investment portfolio?
Yes, I can perform cycle studies on your individual instrument if my time permits.
Can I ask you questions about your cycle models?
Yes, I also post glossaries and concepts in the knowledge base area on the website.