The November CPI release and December Fed meeting occurred last week. The inflation data was better than expected, but the Fed was as hawkish as it could be. So the market sold off. During the post-meeting conference, the Fed Chair specifically mentioned the sticky wage inflation due to shortage of hourly wage workers. The Fed […]
The market has been in a consistent sour mood since the beginning of December. On the last day of November, the Fed chair spoke about slower pace rate hike in December Fed meeting. The market rallied for one day and then changed mood to be decisively bearish. The hope for a year-end rally has been […]
On Wednesday November 30, 2022 the Fed chair positively confirmed that a smaller rate hike is coming as soon as in the December Fed meeting. The market welcomed the positive confirmation and promptly rallied to close above its 200-day moving average. This literally changed the S&P 500 from a bear market to a bull market […]
Last week was a holiday shortened trading week that all indices closed in positive territory. As we blogged before, this is the type of difficult market that it’s hard to make profitable short-term trades. The moves on either side are short-lived and sporadic. The short trade definitely didn’t work out against the mid-October seasonal low, […]
Last week a few Fed officials made very hawkish statements that put out any hopes of rate hike pause or pivot in the December Fed meeting. The market responded negatively to the hawkish statements, but with low volume. The downside momentum was not noticeable, and the weekly bullish posture is still intact. It appears that […]
The red wave didn’t come. The control of Congress was not decide when the market closed last Friday. We just learned that Dem0crates will keep control of the Senate and most likely Republicans will win the House with a slim lead. This configuration will give the White House considerable more power than previously anticipated. Although […]
