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Finally the Relief Rally Had a Follow Through Day

26 June 2022

Finally the indices had a strong follow through day last Friday which cemented a weekly cycle and daily cycle bottom!  The rally from the 06/17/22 low is very similar to the rally out of the 03/14/22 low.  The Fed deliberately killed the rally out of the March seasonal low by communicating clear intentions to tighten […]

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The Market Is Very Close to a Technical Bottom

19 June 2022

Last Friday was a quadruple witching day and the NASDAQ traded 42% over its 50-day average volume.  The NASDAQ failed to make a new intraday low while the DOW and S&P 500 each made a fractional new intraday low.  The NASDAQ closed just a little bit above its 200-week moving average last Friday.  You need […]

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The Cost of Money and Why the Fed Fails Frequently

12 June 2022

Even though the United States is a capitalist system with a free market where asset price discovery is conducted orderly, but the cost of money is decreed by the Fed.  The cost of money fluctuates depending on the Fed’s policy.  If the Fed is easing, the cost of money is low.  If the Fed is […]

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A Paradigm Shift Has Begun in Markets

05 June 2022

Last Thursday the NASDAQ was up 2.69% and the next day it was down 2.47%, although both days had light trading volume.  It’s very unusual for the indices to trade like this.  It’s a period of heightened uncertainty.  Global markets are in the beginning of a fundamental shift after a 15-year period defined by low […]

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A Bottom Was Confirmed Last Week

29 May 2022

After absorbing a slew of bad retailer earnings reports and numerous hawkish Fed statements, the market finally rallied last week and put a weekly cycle bottom in place.  The S&P 500 corrected almost 21% peak to trough.  If this reversal is durable, meaning if the rally can last all the way to late summer and […]

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Everyone Is Looking for That Panic Flush In The Market

22 May 2022

Last week major retailers such as Walmart and Target released bad earnings for Q1 and weak forecast for Q2 2022.  Rightfully both stocks were punished severely along with the entire the market. All three indices made a new low last Friday, but the market was able to crawl back to close above their perspective

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