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Daily and Weekly Cycle Analysis as of 09032021

05 September 2021

The latest job data released on last Friday was soft, not so great, but also not so gloomy which is good for the market because it could push the Fed’s tapering further down the road, at least that is what the market was thinking at the moment.  Yes, the soft data is indicating the economy […]

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All Eyes Are On The September FOMC Meeting

29 August 2021

The much anticipated Fed’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium came and went.  The market took it as a non-event because Fed Chair Powell was dovish as usual.  Powell mentioned that taper is coming but interest rates will remain low for a long time.  The next Fed policy meeting is September 21st, which is about three weeks […]

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Individual Stocks vs. Index Investing

22 August 2021

We mostly hold a very concentrated portfolio of a few high conviction individual stocks.  But we pay enormous amount of attention to the general market and the difference in performance between the major indices.  Why so?  Based on statistics, 75% of the individual stocks trade in the same direction of the general market.

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Six Weeks of Waiting — The Next FMOC Meeting In September

15 August 2021

So far in August the major indices are showing incredible strength by making small incremental new highs every other day or so.  The general market is NOT advancing much, but definitely not coming down.  The market breadth continues to narrow down, meaning less and less stocks are participating with the general market.

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2021 Seasonal Pattern

08 August 2021

There tends to be a seasonal pattern that emerges concerning investment cycles.  Traditionally, you get the summer highs followed by a crash into the seasonal Oct/Nov low.  As long as that panic low holds, then the market will run off to new highs once more.  However, when the Oct/Nov period produces a high, then that […]

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Calm Before The Storm

01 August 2021

In our last Sunday blog, we mentioned that the NASDAQ would attempt 16000 in the next 4-6 weeks after it bounced sharply from 14200 support.  TSLA reported earnings last Monday and the stock price chose not to respond to more than a tenfold increase on the $104 million the company reported in the same period […]

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